Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 14.123068 15.823928 17.666899 19.815174 22.254274 24.941759 28.133062
2025-05-25 11.726473 14.023893 16.696931 20.048519 24.154993 29.043152 35.333494
2025-06-01 9.941982 12.591354 15.874259 20.268684 26.038369 33.412212 43.640601
2025-06-08 8.554964 11.409878 15.155510 20.479613 27.933664 38.118414 53.293270
2025-06-15 7.664186 10.723930 14.957901 21.326533 30.805634 44.618474 66.687709
2025-06-22 6.685505 9.762186 14.227220 21.295613 32.420246 49.622316 78.958855
2025-06-29 5.793971 8.790771 13.330802 20.860346 33.334585 53.716008 90.670152
2025-07-06 5.115091 8.040483 12.652650 20.642497 34.536267 58.460578 104.475887
2025-07-13 4.732293 7.700446 12.566643 21.367581 37.428743 66.584557 126.130990
2025-07-20 4.400378 7.395504 12.489452 22.085346 40.422119 75.442917 151.267092
2025-07-27 4.052010 7.014073 12.224216 22.415433 42.742370 83.459713 176.637374
2025-08-03 3.667747 6.518994 11.688205 22.149544 43.845784 89.250410 198.628802
2025-08-10 3.316825 6.050393 11.156218 21.844221 44.891546 95.294876 223.215197
2025-08-17 3.013266 5.634098 10.670569 21.560784 45.945311 101.608240 250.305094
2025-08-24 2.762032 5.288652 10.279322 21.415900 47.287511 108.891731 282.063133
2025-08-31 2.549876 4.995386 9.955590 21.367759 48.850137 117.063481 318.759611
2025-09-07 2.426715 4.868417 9.959585 22.054426 52.306427 130.779613 375.745832
2025-09-14 2.243751 4.594709 9.615393 21.880432 53.594950 139.127652 419.353286
2025-09-21 2.052122 4.280945 9.145107 21.333593 53.823629 144.646686 455.868465
2025-09-28 1.899659 4.036061 8.799583 21.041156 54.679529 152.163105 501.757063
2025-10-05 1.827401 3.962547 8.838767 21.730566 58.392822 169.083367 587.307430
2025-10-12 1.759948 3.892305 8.876698 22.424017 62.269169 187.535579 686.101334
2025-10-19 1.674762 3.771166 8.776843 22.732325 65.074855 203.298232 780.968255